Tuesday, August 22, 2017

By The Numbers: It's Dongtastical

So many records, so little time. With just two weeks left, who's still on pace to write themselves into the record books, and who's fallen off just enough to fall short? Weymouth has already erased Rio de Janeiro once, with some help from rookie sensation Cody Bellinger (Aaron who?), will the Cristos have anything left when it's all said and done?


By The Numbers: It's Dongtastical
By: Max Powers; Baseball Tri-Weekly


RUNS

Current record set by Dublin Snake Chasers in 2016 - 870

Top 3 teams in 2017 (through Week 19)
     1.) Las Vegas Doggs (809)
     2.) Weymouth Shaddupu (786)
     3.) Tijuana Hispanics (767)

The Doggs turned on the speed last week, separating themselves from the field in the Runs category. With just 64 runs to go, Las Vegas is poised to get themselves back into the record books.

Likelihood of record being broken: 83% chance


HOMERUNS

FORMER record set by Rio de Janeiro Cristos in 2016 - 268

Top 3 teams in 2017 (through Week 19)
     1.) Weymouth Shaddupu (273)
     2.) Las Vegas Doggs (224)
     4.) Tokyo Omyoujis (222)

Dong goes the dynamite. The Poo have already clinches a spot in the record books with the most dongs ever in a single season. Averaging over 14 dongs per week, Shaddupu is on pace to finish the season with over 300. 

Likelihood of record being broken: 100% chance


RBI

Current record set by Rio de Janeiro Cristos in 2016 - 845

Top 3 teams in 2017 (through Week 19)
     1.) Weymouth Shaddupu (793)
     2.) Santo Domingo All-Star Factory (765)
     3.) Las vegas Doggs (745)

There's a chance Weymouth sets this record prior to the final week as well. They're just 53 RBI shy of knocking the Cristos off the board, which should be all but guaranteed at this point. Keeping with their season-long average, the Poo should end the season around 875.

Likelihood of record being broken: 99% chance


STOLEN BASES

Current record set by Winston-Salem Green Monsters in 2007 - 173

Top 3 teams in 2017 (through Week 19)
     1.) Las Vegas Doggs (124)
     2.) Quebec City Piglets (110)
     3.) Santo Domingo All-Star Factory (108)

The top team this season (LV) will need 25 stolen bags per week for their final two weeks. It's simply not going to happen. 

Likelihood of record being broken: 0% chance


BATTING AVERAGE

Current record set by Weymouth Shaddupu in 2006 - .302

Top 3 teams in 2017 (through Week 19)
     1.) Weymouth Shaddupu (.288)
     2.) Tokyo Omyoujis (.278)
     3.) Tijuana Hispanics (.271)

Ok, so we mispoke last week. It's Possible to break this record.Weymouth will simply need to get 428 hits over the course of the next two week. Oh, did we forget to mention that will have to be done in 490 at bats? Ya, that's a .873 average over two weeks. Good luck with that. 

Likelihood of record being broken: 0% chance


WINS

Current record set by Rio de Janeiro Cristos in 2012 - 142

Top 3 teams in 2017 (through Week 19)
     1.) Quebec City Piglets (110)
     2.) Tijuana Hispanics (94)
     3.) Tokyo Omyoujis (85)

Ok, so maybe one of Rio's many season-long records is still safe. The Piglets would need to gather 33 wins over the course of two weeks to rewrite the record books here. That's would require a whole lot of luck they simply haven;t had as of late.

Likelihood of record being broken: 1% chance


SAVES

Current record set by Quebec City Piglets in 2011 - 143

Top 3 teams in 2017 (through Week 19)
     1.) San Juan Guerites (113)
     2.) Tijuana Hispanics (106)
     3.) Las Vegas Doggs (97)

San Juan is as likely to break the Saves record as Quebec City is to break the Wins record. 

Likelihood of record being broken: 1% chance


STRIKEOUTS

Current record set by Quebec City Piglets in 2008 - 1830

Top 3 teams in 2017 (through Week 18)
     1.) Quebec City Piglets (1610)
     2.) Weymouth Shaddupu (1352)
     3.) Rakeville Rockets (1351)

Quebec City could still knock themselves off the record book pages with some hefty numbers in the final two weeks. Some solid streaming and good outings from the rotation could possibly get them 110 K's each week, but it's not looking likely.

Likelihood of record being broken: 10% chance


ERA

Current record set by Dublin Snake Chasers in 2013 - 3.28

Top 3 teams in 2017 (through Week 19)
     1.) Las Vegas Doggs (3.44)
     2.) Weymouth Shaddupu (3.71)
     3.) Dublin Snake Chasers (3.86)

The Doggs shaved 2 points off their ERA, but it simply won't be enough. They'll need to string together 33.1 IP on no run ball over the next two weeks. Not impossible, but...ok, ya, it's impossible. 

Likelihood of record being broken: 0% chance


WHIP

Current record set by Dublin Snake Chasers in 2013 - 1.15

Top 3 teams in 2017 (through Week 19)
     1.) Las Vegas Doggs (1.19)
     2.) Weymouth Shaddupu (1.20)
     3.) Dublin Snake Chasers (1.23)

Again, the Doggs shaved their WHIp down as they did ERA, but it simply is too little too late it seems. In order to cut it down under 1.15 they'll need to average no more than 5.5 BB+H in 17 IP per week to end the season. That's a 0.32 WHIP each week for those of you scoring at home. 

Likelihood of record being broken: 1% chance

Highest Team Winning %

Current record set by Quebec City Piglets in 2003 - .734

Top 3 teams in 2017 (through Week 19)
     1.) Tijuana Hispanics (.589)
     2.) Weymouth Shaddupu (.582)
     3.) Quebec City Piglets (.558)

Nothing has changed, still mathematically impossible. Better luck next year.

Likelihood of record being broken: 0% chance

Lowest Team Winning %

Current record set by Arlington Warriors in 2009 - .284

'Top' 3 teams in 2017 (through Week 19)
     1.) San Fernando Valley Jets (.303)
     2.) Rakeville Rockets (.455)
     3.) Bridgewater Weasels (.471)

We mentioned last week that the jets could only "afford" to win 5 games over the final three weeks in order to break the record. They got 2 in Week 19 against the Doggs, so if Shaddupu and Rakeville can pick up the pace we'll have a new "worst team ever" crowned. A pink shirt and a crown in the same year, how nice. 

Likelihood of record being broken: 25% chance




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