EHCC 2015 Performance Final

 
The regular season is over. For some of us it’s a sweet relief to officially enter into postseason mode. For others, the fun (and stress) of playoff baseball is just getting started. Good luck to everyone still in the playoffs. Remember, flags fly forever!

The winner for top weekly score in 2015 was Las Vegas with 107 points all the way back in week 1. The loser for worst weekly score was Augusta with 19 points in week 8.

Speak Up U!

In my last post I went on and on about how unstoppable the Shuddapu have been through the 2/3^rd mark this season. Since then WEY has suffered some serious regression. Injuries to Stanton, Franco, Freeman, Leake, Kendrick, Harper, Fernandez. Crashes back down to earth for Vogt, Fraizer and Scherzer.

Weymouth once looked like a team that was steam rolling to a championship, now they’re looking just as beatable as any other team in the playoffs. WEY has 2 losses in their final 6 matchups. Not so bad, but 3 of those 4 wins came against the dregs of the East. Which really means that Weymouth only has 1 quality victory in the past month and a half. Weymouth is still a good team and a serious title contender, but nowhere near the lock that they were early in the season.

I'll stay (I also like to live dangerously)

Rio de Janeiro, Dublin and Tokyo all chose to stand at the trading deadline. These teams either believed that their clubs were strong enough to compete for a championship as is, or that they were so far away from being a legit title contender that making a trade wasn’t going to do it. Either way, a bold decision as QC, WEY, LV and SJ all made moves to strengthen their teams for the playoff run. Their chief competitor in the west, the QC Piglets brought in Edwin Encarnacion, John Lackey and Brad Ziegler to bolster their already talented squad. These moves propelled QC from outside of a playoffs spot to the #2 seed and nearly a first round bye. The Omyoujis found themselves as the kid without a seat when the playoff music stopped. Tokyo dropped 4 of their last 5 matchups including a week 22, 8-2 beat down by the aforementioned Piglets.

Santo Domingo’s Rebuild

Santo Domingo GM Manny Ramirez wasn’t kidding when he said they were selling. In a rebuilding effort, SD shipped off Jose Bautista, Shin-soo Choo, John Lackey, Brad Ziegler, Mark Melancon and Alex Rodriguez to contenders. SD’s return was mostly draft picks. SD now holds an unprecedented 7 picks in 2016’s mi-draft, including 3 in the first round. Also, 4 picks in the first 2 rounds of 2016’s ma-draft.

SD may not be done yet either. Ramirez doesn’t have a problem using these picks (and a keeper protection or two) to improve his squad over the offseason. This could open the door for trades with teams struggling with cutting down to 21 this offseason. SD is officially open for business…

Part Deux

On August 10^th Chief Lawless published the post “EHCC Minor League Draft Recap Part 1”. At the end of this incomplete draft recap Lawless promises, “Stay tuned for the exciting conclusion! Round 2 Analysis coming soon…”. Well over a month later, and still no exciting conclusion. Hell, the minor league draft being recapped was 2 months ago. Will the “EHCC Minor League Draft Recap Part 2”?  go down in history as a forgotten post? Much like infamous SD 2013 winter magazine submission that never saw the light of day.

Update The Freakin’ Trades!

Seriously, what does a guy have to do to get trades posted to the website. Like, they happened.
 

Feeling Unlucky?

Below is a summary of the PF and PA for the 2015 regular season. The PF shows how well you’ve performed on average on the 12-120 scale. The delta(∆) column is your PA minus 65 (65 being the average). This number gives you an idea of how “lucky” you’ve been.

- Neither of the best teams in each division (QC or LV) got the bye.

- The 6 best teams did make the playoffs.
- The award for the luckiest team for 2015 is a tie between Weymouth and Tokyo. This propelled WEY to a first round bye but wasn't enough to get TKO into the dance.
- The award for the most unlucky team in 2015 goes to Tijuana. According to the PF numbers TIJ still didn't deserve a playoff spot. Still, averaging 74.2 PA per week must've made for a long season.
- I'm a little surprised about the variance in ∆ this season. In 2014, all of the variances fell between ±3.5. This season the variances ranged from -9.2 to +7.7. Statistically, as more time passes, the more likely it is for the variance numbers to be closer to 0. So such large variance numbers are surprising. I guess we can chalk it up to a small sample size. 22 weeks is the full season, but in the grand scheme 22 samples isn’t very many.