EHCC 2014 Performance ⅔

The baseball season is often called a marathon. With 7 weeks remaining, we’re at the point where it’s a sprint from here.

The leader in top weekly score so far this season is Las Vegas with 100.5 points in week 13. The leader? for worst weekly score is Tijuana with 27.5 points in week 13.

Down in the DUB’s.

The Snake Chasers are current in 10^th place, 14 points out of a playoff spot with 7 weeks to go. The statement that I made in my last post about Dublin has held true. “As Chris Davis goes, so does DUB.” The problem is that Chris Davis hasn’t gone much of  anywhere this season having only hit 16 homeruns with a .200 average. It goes without saying that these numbers are not what fantasy owners expected from Crush coming into the season. Another factor contributing to Dublin’s poor season is general managers Conner and Murphy MacManus’ refusal to compete in the saves category. It’s hard to win when you start every matchup down 0-1. This has also created the “punch and run” method of defeating The Snake Chasers (see wk 14 vs QC). If a team can get a save and a couple good starts (satisfying the innings limit), that team can secure saves, era and whip while sitting their entire pitching staff for the rest of the matchup. That puts DUB down 2-3 in pitching categories, nullifying their vaunted starting staff. Then you can take your chances with the struggling DUB offense.

AUG is for reals!

Did I call the east a two horse race back in May? The Albatross have proven me wrong. Augusta has firmly been in the playoff hunt for most of the season and accordingly have been in the conversation for the eastern division. This is troubling news for multiple league members who’ve made wagers against Augusta making the post season dance. I personally, have a sock full of nickels in waiting for an almost inevitable AUG playoff berth.

Bridgewater to where?

Bridgewater is currently in 12^th place, 29 points out of a playoff spot; 9 points behind the 11^th place team and has almost surely wrapped up the last place award again this season. In fact, since the infamous exdraft of 2011 the Weasels have a winning percentage of 0.357 and have finished dead last in each season. The best team over that span has been Las Vegas with a 0.599 winning percentage. The next to worst team in the same span is Tokyo who had a 0.459 winning percentage. The difference between LV and TKO (1^st and 11^th) was 82.5 points. The difference between TKO and BW (11^th and 12^th) was 60.5 points. With 0 trades and minimal roster transactions over that span, it makes you wonder what’s going on down in the woods of the Hockomock Swamp…

Trade time!

We’re currently two-thirds of the way through the season and the trade deadline is quickly approaching. It’s time to decide if you’re a buyer or a seller (or a holder, but where’s the fun in that?). The trade winds have already starting to pick up. The deadline’s trade cherry was popped at the midraft when TIJ traded the 28^th overall selection to SD for Jake McGee. Next up was QC obtaining Corey Kluber and David Robertson from TKO for a group of much needed assets that could very well be the base of the next winning Tokyo team.

Points Against

Here’s something new. Have you ever thought that your team happens to play against other teams when they’re having their best weeks? This is prompted me to calculate a points against (PA) using the average weekly roto numbers. There are 3 columns on the below graph. First is points for (PF); this is a measure of how many points you put up on average per week. Second is the aforementioned points against (PA); this is the weekly average of points scored against your team. Lastly is a variance (∆) between your PA and 65 (65 being the average number of points scored in a week). This shows how lucky/unlucky you’ve been so far this season. The results show that Rakeville and San Juan have benefitted from teams playing poorly against them while Las Vegas, Dublin and Tokyo have taken a hit from playing better preforming competition. The rest of the league is reasonably neutral, being within +/- 1 point of the mean.